Cagliari vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CEL
4 - 0
CAG
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CAG
1 - 3
GET
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 0
CAG
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAG
0 - 1
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
NAP
3 - 0
CAG
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 0
FCS
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CAT
2 - 1
ATL
42%
27%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 2
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAT
4 - 1
ROM
14%
22%
64%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VER
4 - 0
CAT
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |