Cagliari Sub 18 vs Milan Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
48.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
10º
6º
50
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
CAG
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 3
HEL
28%
21%
51%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FRO
1 - 4
CAG
10%
15%
75%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 1
FIO
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 2
HEL
23%
20%
57%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Milan Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
FIO
39%
24%
38%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 3
MIL
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MIL
2 - 0
SAS
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
INT
2 - 1
MIL
75%
14%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MIL
2 - 1
LAZ
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |