Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-4
CP Cacereño vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
67%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
16%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CPC
2 - 0
CAD
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
UCA
1 - 1
CPC
23%
26%
50%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 3
CPC
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
CPC
2 - 0
BET
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
CPC
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAL
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 0
ACM
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 1
VAD
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 1
MAL
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
AND
0 - 3
MAL
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |