Caçador vs Naçao Esportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
57.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caçador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 0
INT
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 1
CAC
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 2
JUV
16%
21%
63%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MET
4 - 0
CAC
63%
20%
18%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 1
CRA
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Naçao Esportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NES
1 - 1
INT
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NES
1 - 1
GUA
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SCA
1 - 1
NES
28%
21%
51%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 3
NES
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
NES
2 - 0
CRA
40%
22%
37%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |