Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
VEL
41%
28%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
BAR
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 0
VEL
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 0
CAU
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 2
VEL
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
RIV
5 - 1
BAR
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
ARG
3 - 2
RIV
36%
26%
37%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 1
RIV
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 1
SCI
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 1
RAC
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |