Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-0
Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
DYJ
1 - 1
VEL
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 0
CEN
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 0
VEL
42%
28%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 1
PLA
68%
21%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 0
IRV
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 1
LAN
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 5
RIV
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
RIV
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 0
ATT
70%
18%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
DYJ
0 - 0
RIV
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |