Vélez Sarsfield vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
GLP
2 - 1
VEL
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
RIV
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
VEL
41%
28%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
BAR
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 0
VEL
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
RIV
3 - 1
ARS
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 1
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ARS
3 - 2
ARG
33%
30%
37%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ARS
0 - 1
INS
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 0
COL
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |