Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-2
Tigre vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
BAN
0 - 3
TIG
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
TIG
0 - 1
CEN
49%
27%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
RIV
3 - 1
TIG
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
TIG
2 - 0
EST
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
GOD
0 - 2
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
SLO
3 - 0
ARG
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
IND
0 - 1
SLO
41%
26%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 1
HUR
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
LAN
2 - 1
SLO
53%
23%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 2
NOB
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |