Tigre vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
BOL
2 - 0
TIG
71%
17%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
TIG
0 - 2
PAL
19%
26%
54%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
TIG
3 - 1
GIM
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ALB
2 - 1
TIG
12%
22%
65%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
TIG
2 - 0
RAF
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
INS
1 - 1
BRO
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
INS
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 1
INS
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
INS
0 - 0
RIE
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SAR
2 - 1
INS
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |