Copa Libertadores Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 3-3
River Plate vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 1
RAC
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
CEN
3 - 3
RIV
35%
25%
39%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 1
TAL
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
RIV
3 - 1
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 0
RIV
34%
27%
40%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SCI
1 - 2
CUI
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
SCI
42%
27%
31%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SCI
0 - 0
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 0
SCI
57%
24%
20%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SCI
0 - 0
CRZ
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |