River Plate vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
RIV
4 - 2
ARG
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
RIV
17%
23%
60%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
DYJ
1 - 2
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 1
BOC
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
4 - 0
GLP
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
CUI
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
COL
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
SPO
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
FOR
29%
27%
45%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
NAU
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |