Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 0-3
Lanús vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 1
LAN
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 0
PAT
66%
21%
12%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 1
SMA
82%
14%
4%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SLO
0 - 4
LAN
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 3
HUR
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
IND
0 - 1
DYJ
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 3
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
ARS
56%
25%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
GLP
3 - 3
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
STM
84%
13%
3%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | +1 |