Lanús vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
BOC
3 - 0
LAN
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
LAN
2 - 1
OLI
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
IND
0 - 0
LAN
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
EST
2 - 2
LAN
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
LAN
0 - 4
VEL
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 0
CEN
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
GIM
1 - 0
CEN
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 2
BOC
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
OLI
0 - 0
CEN
40%
27%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2005 |
IND
2 - 2
CEN
50%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |