Boca Juniors vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BOC
0 - 0
PAL
24%
28%
48%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BOC
1 - 1
LAN
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
CCS
0 - 3
BOC
37%
29%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DYJ
1 - 0
BOC
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 2
BOC
13%
25%
62%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 1
RIV
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 0
ATT
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
RIV
3 - 1
ARS
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 0
UCO
69%
18%
14%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
RIV
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |