Boca Juniors vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 0
BOC
36%
29%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 1
ARG
57%
25%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 2
BOC
37%
29%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
BOC
2 - 0
OLI
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 0
BOC
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
LAN
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
ALB
3 - 2
RIV
40%
29%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 0
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
TIG
0 - 0
RIV
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 0
SLO
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |