CF Estrella vs San Sadurniño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
74.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+246%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
EST
1 - 2
GAL
21%
19%
60%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ADM
5 - 1
EST
60%
18%
22%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
EST
4 - 2
MON
60%
19%
21%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NRN
1 - 2
EST
59%
18%
23%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
EST
0 - 7
RAP
29%
21%
50%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Sadurniño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAD
1 - 2
NUM
37%
22%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 3
SAD
30%
22%
47%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAD
4 - 3
ROS
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ADM
1 - 2
SAD
32%
22%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
SAD
4 - 0
CUL
87%
9%
5%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | +1 |