CD Demo vs Arahal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Demo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ROC
4 - 0
CDD
54%
23%
23%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
4 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 2
CDD
50%
23%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 2
VEN
25%
23%
52%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 0
MAI
25%
24%
52%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ARH
1 - 1
MAI
26%
24%
50%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 1
ARH
32%
25%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ARH
2 - 4
MON
31%
24%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MSQ
0 - 0
ARH
21%
23%
57%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ARH
1 - 4
UDR
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |