Burnley vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LEE
1 - 2
BUR
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 0
BIR
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BUR
1 - 1
BBU
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
DER
0 - 3
BUR
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
BUR
2 - 0
PNE
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DON
2 - 2
NTT
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
NTT
2 - 2
MID
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NTT
3 - 2
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WIG
2 - 1
NTT
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
NTT
2 - 1
MIL
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |