Brusque vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 2
BRU
32%
30%
38%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BRU
0 - 1
VAS
20%
26%
54%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 2
BRU
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
BRU
0 - 0
VIT
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
COT
4 - 0
BRU
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRZ
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
COT
1 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
REM
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PPE
0 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
CSA
45%
27%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |