Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-0
Brusque vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
ECS
1 - 0
BRU
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 1
BRU
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
BRU
2 - 1
YPI
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
BRU
0 - 0
JUV
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
JUV
2 - 3
BRU
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
CRB
1 - 0
BRA
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
OES
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
PPE
24%
30%
47%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
CUI
0 - 0
BRA
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
SLU
0 - 1
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |