Brown Adrogué vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
BRO
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BRO
0 - 0
ALB
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
BRO
1 - 0
SMA
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
INS
1 - 1
BRO
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BRO
0 - 0
RSA
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
INS
0 - 1
ALM
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
INS
2 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TIG
0 - 3
INS
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
INS
1 - 1
BRO
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
INS
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |