Brommapojkarna vs IK Sirius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
13º
11º
34
3º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 55 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 52 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 50 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 46 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 43 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 31 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 31 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 28 |
15º
|
44.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 24 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 98% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brommapojkarna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 2
BRO
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
HÄC
4 - 3
BRO
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 2
AIK
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GAI
0 - 4
BRO
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 0
GIF
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 1
IFK
52%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DJU
2 - 0
SIR
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 2
SIR
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 0
HAL
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 0
IKB
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |