Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 2
BRO
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
BRO
2 - 1
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
BRO
3 - 4
EXE
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
WYC
2 - 1
BRO
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
BRO
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 0
PLY
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
PLY
3 - 1
MKD
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
PLY
1 - 0
WYC
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
PLY
23%
25%
53%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
PLY
3 - 3
AFC
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |