Bristol City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
BRI
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
HUR
1 - 2
BRI
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 3
NOR
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BOU
1 - 0
BRI
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 1
SWA
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
DER
0 - 2
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
DER
0 - 1
QPR
51%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BOU
1 - 1
DER
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
DER
1 - 1
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
NTT
1 - 1
DER
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |