Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
10º
9º
15
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
27.5% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 66% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
BRI
43%
26%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 1
BRI
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
BRI
6%
13%
82%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 2
WES
30%
24%
47%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 5
BRI
7%
14%
79%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 2
MEL
52%
24%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 1
BRI
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MCI
1 - 2
SYD
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 0
WUF
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
API
0 - 2
SYD
8%
15%
77%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |