Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
BRI
3 - 2
WES
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ADE
3 - 0
BRI
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PER
6 - 3
BRI
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
BRI
2 - 2
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BRI
4 - 0
CCM
65%
20%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CCM
0 - 2
MEL
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 1
MEL
8%
15%
77%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
SYD
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
SHA
42%
25%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 1
ADE
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |