Brescia vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 0
BRE
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BRE
3 - 1
TER
81%
13%
5%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 1
BRE
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
LIV
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 0
VAR
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 2
BEN
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
VIR
2 - 2
SAS
16%
24%
60%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 1
VIR
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
CRO
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |