Brescia vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
BRE
65%
23%
12%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 0
USF
45%
31%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRE
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 0
COM
39%
31%
30%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
ARZ
2 - 1
BRE
56%
27%
18%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 0
AVE
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
REG
1 - 0
PAR
58%
26%
16%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
PAR
2 - 1
TAR
56%
27%
17%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAR
62%
26%
12%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
PAR
1 - 2
ATL
51%
29%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |