Serie B Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Brescia vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 0
VAR
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
LIV
3 - 0
BRE
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BRE
3 - 2
ASC
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
REG
0 - 1
BRE
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
VER
4 - 2
BRE
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
SAS
1 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
LIV
3 - 0
BRE
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
LIV
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LIV
2 - 0
VIC
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 3
LIV
27%
27%
47%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |