Brescia vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
JUV
5 - 0
BRE
70%
19%
12%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
BRE
3 - 0
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
INT
2 - 1
BRE
67%
19%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
BRE
0 - 0
VER
58%
23%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
UDI
3 - 2
BRE
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
BOL
2 - 0
LAZ
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PRG
1 - 0
BOL
46%
25%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
BOL
1 - 2
PIA
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 1
BOL
42%
27%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
ROM
3 - 1
BOL
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |