Brentford vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ARS
3 - 1
BRE
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DER
3 - 1
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
IPS
1 - 1
BRE
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 0
WIG
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 1
NTT
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
REA
3 - 0
HUL
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
REA
1 - 2
NOR
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
PNE
2 - 3
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
REA
1 - 2
SHW
32%
29%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
REA
0 - 2
WAT
15%
21%
64%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |