Brentford vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 0
CUM
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
DER
5 - 0
BRE
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 0
WAL
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GIL
1 - 1
BRE
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BRE
3 - 1
SHE
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 0
FLE
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AFC
3 - 2
SCU
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
EXE
2 - 0
AFC
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 0
WYC
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 1
AFC
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |