Brea vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LAA
4 - 2
CFB
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CFB
1 - 0
CAL
66%
19%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TAR
2 - 0
CFB
74%
16%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CFB
0 - 1
SAR
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ZAR
0 - 2
CFB
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ICF
1 - 0
ATL
56%
23%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SDB
1 - 2
ICF
60%
22%
17%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ICF
1 - 2
CFA
43%
24%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
UFC
2 - 1
ICF
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ICF
0 - 0
SAB
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |