Brasil de Pelotas vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PAT
2 - 1
BRA
27%
30%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAT
54%
27%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAC
42%
30%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
BRA
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
NOV
57%
26%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SLU
1 - 0
NOV
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 3
SLU
27%
25%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ISM
2 - 0
NOV
26%
27%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 0
ISM
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 0
NOV
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |