Série D Brazil Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
43%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
BRA
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
BRA
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
4 - 0
OPE
53%
27%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
OPE
0 - 0
BRA
38%
28%
33%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
ITU
25%
29%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LON
0 - 0
ANA
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 2
LON
28%
26%
47%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LON
5 - 0
SAN
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
LON
15%
23%
62%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
LON
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |