Brasil de Pelotas vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 0
BRA
46%
26%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
CRZ
4 - 1
BRA
71%
20%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 0
OPE
44%
30%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 1
BRA
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
CRB
30%
30%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 0
OPE
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
OES
0 - 1
GUA
28%
29%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 0
GUA
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
CHA
29%
29%
43%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 2
GUA
41%
30%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |