RB Bragantino vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 1
BRA
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAN
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAL
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 0
BRA
26%
26%
49%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOT
82%
14%
5%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
PLA
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MWA
2 - 2
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
TOR
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
LFC
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |