Bragantino PA vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bragantino PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BPA
0 - 0
PAY
14%
19%
67%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
IND
1 - 0
BPA
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
BPA
1 - 0
ASA
45%
24%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
BPA
3 - 2
TAP
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BPA
3 - 1
REC
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
APA
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
APA
1 - 2
VIL
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 2
APA
21%
22%
58%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
APA
1 - 0
GRE
49%
25%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |