Botafogo SP vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
63.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
OES
1 - 0
BOT
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
BRA
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 2
NOR
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 2
LIN
90%
7%
2%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAO
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 4
SAO
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 1
PPE
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 0
SAO
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |