Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 3
BOT
18%
25%
57%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
52%
24%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 2
NOV
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
POR
85%
12%
4%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAM
88%
9%
2%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
73%
17%
11%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 0
AUD
87%
11%
3%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 0
FLA
23%
24%
52%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
VAS
13%
22%
65%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 2
VAS
6%
16%
78%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | 0 |