Botafogo vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 2
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLU
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 5
CRZ
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
ATP
1 - 0
BOT
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
COR
48%
26%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
AGU
92%
6%
2%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
SCI
2 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
FFL
73%
18%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 4
SAN
8%
19%
73%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |