Botafogo PB vs Volta Redonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
3º
8º
8º
10
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 12 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 10 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
PAY
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 0
BOT
46%
29%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 1
BOT
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 1
AFC
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
YPI
1 - 1
BOT
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Volta Redonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
0 - 2
AFC
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 0
VOL
25%
26%
48%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 1
BOT
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
0 - 2
PET
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 1
VOL
32%
27%
42%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |