Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
FOR
12%
23%
66%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
64 | 23 | 41 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
POM
2 - 3
BOT
14%
22%
65%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 2
ALT
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
PET
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
SOU
12%
23%
65%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
0 - 2
TRE
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 0
CRZ
11%
23%
66%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 0
CAM
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |