Botafogo PB vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
3º
8º
8º
10
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 12 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 10 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 0
BOT
46%
29%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 1
BOT
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 1
AFC
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
YPI
1 - 1
BOT
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
CON
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 0
BOT
46%
29%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
PAY
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 1
VOL
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
PAY
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
PAY
2 - 1
POA
59%
25%
17%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |