Botafogo PB vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
65.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
64 | 23 | 41 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
POM
2 - 3
BOT
14%
22%
65%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 2
ALT
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
ABC
0 - 0
BOT
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
FPI
0 - 3
FOR
5%
19%
76%
|
90 | 38 | 52 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
FOR
33%
26%
41%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 3
CEA
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
RIV
89%
9%
2%
|
90 | 47 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CRB
1 - 0
FOR
19%
25%
56%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |