Botafogo PB vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
BOT
3 - 1
ATH
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
BOT
54%
27%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 3
BOT
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
REM
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
CAX
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
LON
35%
28%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 2
FER
21%
27%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
FER
0 - 4
ABC
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
SAO
5 - 0
FER
59%
26%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
FER
2 - 2
APA
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |