Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 3-0
Botafogo PB vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
ASA
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
BOT
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 1
BOT
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
RIV
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
BOT
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
TUP
2 - 1
CEA
20%
26%
55%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 0
BAH
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
CEA
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 1
NAU
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 0
OES
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |