Boston River vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOS
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
BOS
0 - 0
RIV
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
BOS
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 0
BOS
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
BOS
2 - 3
CEL
42%
28%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
SCI
2 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 2
PRO
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
SCI
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 2
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEF
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |