Boston River vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 1
BOS
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CER
2 - 0
BOS
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BOS
3 - 1
LFC
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ETS
1 - 0
BOS
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
BOS
3 - 1
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
RIV
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
LFC
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ETS
0 - 1
NAC
17%
24%
58%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
ZUL
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAC
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |