B. Mönchengladbach II vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
10º
17º
12º
52
2º
18º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 49 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ROD
2 - 4
BOR
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BOR
3 - 6
S04
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
AAA
2 - 2
BOR
35%
25%
41%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
5 - 2
BOR
23%
22%
56%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
WUP
3 - 2
BOR
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 2
WUP
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DUR
1 - 1
DIE
51%
22%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 0
FCB
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
RWA
0 - 5
DIE
20%
21%
59%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
KÖL
5 - 1
DIE
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |